The strategic partnership between China and Russia is one of the most important relationships in international affairs as global politics continue to change. This alliance has strengthened under the leadership of Presidents Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin, characterized by shared military cooperation, economic interests, and a goal of counterbalancing Western influence. But a crucial question is about to arise: Would this strong collaboration continue if one of the leaders were to step down from the stage?
In a sign of close strategic partnership between the two countries, Vladimir Putin’s first official visit since his re-election as the Russian President in March, was to China. Putin visited the country in mid-May, however, as RFE/RL reported, “Putin’s May 16-17 visit got plenty of attention but was light on deliverables. There was pomp and pageantry in Beijing when Putin met with his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping.”
The foundation of this alliance has been the close personal relationship between Xi and Putin. The impression of a strong and long-lasting partnership has been strengthened by their frequent meetings and open demonstrations of friendship. This is a relationship based on mutual respect and strategic alignment, not just transactional activity. However, the China-Russian partnership faces serious obstacles in the event that either leader decides to leave office. Both Xi and Putin have significant power inside their own nations, and their individual dedication to the alliance has been essential.
In Russia, rumors regarding Putin’s possible replacements frequently focus on individuals who might not agree with his foreign policy outlook. Similar to this, China carefully monitors the process of changing leaders, but any new leader may have a different viewpoint on the alliance with Russia.
“For China, it is increasingly difficult to balance its support for Russia and its ties with Western trading partners,” the Diplomat wrote. Additional reports show that China refused giving Russia lethal arms for its war in Ukraine, and note tense negotiations and the lack of progress in Power of Siberia-2 gas pipeline talks. At the same time, BBC reported that “Washington and Brussels believe it is exporting tech and components essential for war.”
China and Russia have economic and strategic interests that are likely to last despite the uncertainty surrounding future leadership. China is Russia’s biggest trading partner, and Russia gives China vital energy resources; both countries gain from their alliance. Furthermore, their collaboration in the advancement of technology and modernization of the military benefits both parties.
